Recent Polling Trends: Donald Trump has not won a national poll in approximately a week. Vice President Kamala Harris has taken the lead in at least four recent polls, reflecting a significant shift in voter sentiment
Polling Averages: According to the Race to the WH aggregation website, which compiles 128 national polls, Harris leads Trump by 0.1 percentage points, with Harris at 47% and Trump at 46.9%.
Polling Data from 538: Recent polls surveyed by 538, including YouGov/CBS News, RMG Research, The Economist, and Daily Kos/Civiqs, all show Harris leading or in a competitive position against Trump.
Poll Specifics: Different surveys reflect varying degrees of Harris's lead. Harris leads 49% to 47% with a margin of error of ±2.1 points. Harris at 46% versus Trump's 44% with a margin of error of ±3.3 points.
Previous Trump Lead: The most recent poll showing Trump ahead was by American Pulse Research & Polling, with Trump leading 47% to Harris's 46%. This was conducted from July 26 to July 29
Recent Rasmussen Report: Rasmussen Reports, conducted between July 24 and July 31, still shows Trump leading with 49% over Harris’s 44%. However, this poll has been excluded from some aggregators like 538
Swing State Dynamics: Despite Harris's lead in national polls, RealClear Politics still shows Trump leading in several key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.